Slacker · 1990 — 第 5 / 22 章 · 2'28" · B2

The Nonvoting Majority Argument, Explained:dawn on

A man corners his friend with numbers: Bush's 54 percent means nothing once you take into account prisoners, noncitizens, the old and the rural, because only about a third of the country votes at all. "That's not a mandate," he says. Then they find Paul's room empty.

あらすじ

A man doing a security check gets talking about politics. He argues that the media's talk of Bush's 54 percent mandate does not take into account the whole population, listing prisoners, noncitizens, the young, the old and people without addresses. He puts the real figure nearer 18 percent, and says the large nonvoting majority is the real winner.

Small talkArgumentsPersuadingExplainingFriendsB2fastamerican
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注目の表現

take into accounta hell of a lotdawn onmale bonding

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  1. ❝ 独白a rant on voting numbers24 行練習ページ ↗
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このシーンの表現

dawn on

become clear to someone

He predicts the day everyone suddenly realizes the nonvoters have been winning.

It dawned on me that I had left my phone at home.

このシーンの他の表現

  • take into account

    include in the calculation

  • a hell of a lot

    a great deal

  • male bonding

    guys connecting with guys

  • too ashamed to

    so ashamed they cannot

  • for a change

    read something different

このシーンのメモ一覧

45 行のセリフに 24 件のメモ

表現 · B1a security check

a safety inspection

Just a little security check. There've been some people missing.
表現 · A2have got to go

must leave

Nothing to worry about, pal. Okay, you gotta go.
表現 · A2be in a hurry

rushed

I mean, you're in a hurry. That makes perfect sense.
表現 · B1speed up

getting faster

Things are speeding up here at the end.
スラング · A2Gotcha

got it — A casual way to say you understand; not for formal talk.

Gotcha.
文法 · A2the media's trying

present continuous: The present continuous shows the media is actively propping the system up right now.

The thing is, the media's trying to hold up this whole one-party, two-faction system...
表現 · B2take something into account

include in the calculation

He says the media percentage simply ignores most of the country's people.

And that just doesn't take into account the whole population of the country.
表現 · B2the eligible population

those entitled to vote

they say 50.3% of the eligible population participated in the '88 election.
表現 · B2a hell of a lot + comparative

a great deal

He rejects the media's turnout figure, insisting the real number is far lower.

But I think the figure's a hell of a lot lower than that. You gotta consider.
表現 · C1be incarcerated in a place

imprisoned in

Prisoners. We got more people incarcerated in this country...
表現 · B2get to the polls

go and vote

Noncitizens, the underage, the overage, people too old to get to the polls.
文法 · B1too old to get to the polls

too ... to: Too old to do something means age itself blocks the action.

Noncitizens, the underage, the overage, people too old to get to the polls.
表現 · B2to be conservative

at a low estimate

I mean, to be conservative, the figure's more like 35%.
発音to be conservative

Reduce to be and stress conservative instead.

I mean, to be conservative, the figure's more like 35%.
発音dawn on

Link dawn and on so they sound like one word.

It just seems like one day it's gonna dawn on everybody...
スラング · A2gonna

going to — Spoken shorthand for going to; keep it out of writing.

It just seems like one day it's gonna dawn on everybody...
表現 · C1the nonvoting majority

the majority who skip voting

that this large nonvoting majority has been winning every election...
表現 · B2too ashamed to do something

so ashamed they cannot

And the people who win these elections are gonna be too ashamed...
文法 · B1the people who win these elections

relative clause: The who-clause picks out exactly which people he means: the winners.

And the people who win these elections are gonna be too ashamed...
表現 · B2take power

assume control

or better yet, too afraid to even take power at all.
表現 · B1it's like someone split

he took off

I don't know. It's like he split, man.
スラング · B1split

left suddenly — Casual for leaving; avoid it in formal speech.

I don't know. It's like he split, man.
表現 · B1do something for a change

read something different

Asked for his source, he names a paper and jabs that the other guy should read it for once.

Dallas Morning News, man. You ought to read it for a change.
発音read it

The d in read blends into it, close to rea-dit.

Dallas Morning News, man. You ought to read it for a change.

「The Nonvoting Majority Argument」を読み解く

What's really going on

The scene is a lecture delivered to a captive friend, and its power is in the arithmetic. The man builds his case one group at a time — prisoners, noncitizens, the underage and the overage, people out in the country without addresses — until the official 54 percent collapses into something like 18 percent. What he is really describing is a system where most people have already opted out, and he thinks that is a kind of victory: "this large nonvoting majority has been winning every election." The film lets him be both right and ridiculous, a man with his facts in order and no audience for them. When he finally reveals his source, "Dallas Morning News," it lands as a punchline and a defence. The quieter thread underneath, Paul's empty room with postcards on the floor, quietly rhymes with the talk of missing people and those who simply vanish.

Theme

PowerThe whole monologue argues that official power rests on a minority the media dresses up as a majority.
LiesHe treats the "54 percent mandate" as a statistical lie, and he wants the numbers to expose it.

このチャプターで学べること

  • A voting number can be taken apart until it means little.
  • He treats statistics as ammunition, not trivia.
  • Even the winners, he says, may fear taking power.
  • The scene ends on an empty room and a few postcards.

発音のポイント

  • to be conservative — Reduce to be and stress conservative instead.
  • dawn on — Link dawn and on so they sound like one word.
  • read it — The d in read blends into it, close to rea-dit.
That's nothing. That's nothing. That's not a mandate.

His verdict on Bush's share: a figure that small is not the broad public approval the word mandate claims.

that this large nonvoting majority has been winning every election...

His theory that the people who stay home are, in effect, the deciding bloc in every election.

Dallas Morning News, man. You ought to read it for a change.

His answer about his sources, offered as both proof and a dig at his friend's reading habits.

Maybe 18% of the people in this country support him.

His recalculated figure for real support, which he treats as the honest number behind the headline.

このシーンについての質問

What is the man arguing about?

He argues that the media's claim of a 54 percent mandate ignores most of the population, and that Bush's real support is closer to 18 percent of the country.

Who does he say is left out of the figures?

Prisoners, noncitizens, the underage and the overage, rural people and people without addresses, all of whom he says the official turnout numbers leave out.

Why does the man mention Nazi Germany?

He uses it as a comparison: the Nazis took power with roughly a third of the vote, so 18 percent in a modern democracy is even weaker.

Why is Paul's empty room in the scene?

The friend mentions that Paul has disappeared and left his room empty, with only some postcards on the floor. It echoes the talk of missing people and things that vanish.

What does "mandate" mean?

It means the authority a government claims from winning an election. The man insists 18 percent support is not a mandate at all.

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